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HomeMy WebLinkAbout1.20 Wildfire Mitigation ReportMarch 2023 Prepared By: Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 1 48 December 2023 WILDFIRE MITIGATION REPORT Spring Valley Ranch LLC Glenwood Springs, Colorado 2023 Update Presented by: White River Fire Consulting 2015 Breckenridge Drive, Berthoud CO Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 2 48 INDEX OF TABLES 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 5 INTRODUCTION 6 Report Objectives 6 Location 6 WILDFIRE MITIGATION 8 Wildfire mitigation Objectives 8 Current Risk Situation 8 Fire Behavior Modeling 10 Fire Behavior Inputs 11 Fuel Models and Fire Behavior 14 Fire Behavior Outputs 23 Fire Behavior Interpretation and Limitations 29 WILDFIRE MITIGATION RECOMMENDATIONS 31 Section 504 Class 1 Ignition Resistant Construction as described in the 2021 International Wildland Code 39 Section 505 Class 2 Ignition-Resistant Construction 41 APPENDIX A 45 FIRE BEHAVIOR POTENTIAL ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY 45 Purpose 45 Model Description 45 BEHAVE 46 FlamMap 46 Reference Guide 48 Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 3 48 Table of Contents Table of Figures FIGURE 1. SPRING VALLEY RANCH NEAR GLENWOOD SPRINGS, COLORADO 7 FIGURE 2. RECENT LARGE FIRE PERIMETERS MAP. 9 FIGURE 3. CONDITION CLASSES MAP. 21 FIGURE 4. FIRE BEHAVIOR MODELING. 10 FIGURE 5. PERCENT SLOPE 11 FIGURE 6. ASPECT 12 FIGURE 7. ELEVATION 13 FIGURE 8. SPRING VALLEY RANCH FUEL MODELS 15 FIGURE 9. ANNUAL GRASSES/FORBS 16 FIGURE 10. SAGE AND GRASS MIX 17 FIGURE 11. GAMBLE OAK OVER SIX FEET TALL 18 FIGURE 12. ASPEN 19 FIGURE 13. MIXED CONIFER AND DOUGLAS-FIR STANDS 20 FIGURE 14. RATE OF SPREAD PREDICTIONS (MODERATE WEATHER CONDITIONS) 23 FIGURE 15. RATE OF SPREAD PREDICTIONS (EXTREME WEATHER CONDITIONS) 24 FIGURE 16. FLAME LENGTH PREDICTIONS (MODERATE WEATHER CONDITIONS) 25 FIGURE 17. FLAME LENGTH PREDICTIONS (EXTREME WEATHER CONDITIONS) 26 FIGURE 18. CROWN FIRE (MODERATE WEATHER CONDITIONS) 27 FIGURE 19. CROWN FIRE (EXTREME WEATHER CONDITIONS) 28 FIGURE 20. DEFENSIBLE SPACE CONCEPTUAL DESIGN 31 FIGURE 21. DEFENSIBLE SPACE AND DEFENSIBLE SPACE EASEMENTS 32 FIGURE 22. ROADSIDE THINNING FUELBREAK 33 FIGURE 23. ANNUAL MOWING FUELS REDUCTION AREAS 36 FIGURE 24. EXTENDED DEFENSIBLE SPACE EASEMENTS 37 FIGURE 25. SPECIAL BUILDING CONSTRUCTION PROPERTIES 38 FIGURE 26. SPRING VALLEY RANCH HYDRANT MAP 42 FIGURE 27. FIRE BEHAVIOR FLOW CHART 45 Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 4 48 Table of Figures EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Spring Valley Ranch Wildfire Mitigation Report Update, February 2023, has been created to meet initial and long-range development planning goals for the built environment and open space, to ensure ecosystem and community sustainability and to integrate directives with social goals. Specific project goals are to: •Reduce the risk of catastrophic wildfire. •Provide development options for the mitigation of wildfire. •Develop an integrated management approach that encompasses all natural communities represented at Spring Valley Ranch. •Provide a tool to help residents of Spring Valley Ranch understand the complexity of the ecosystem and more effectively protect their property and lives from wildfires. Vegetation management is needed throughout the upper montane zone of the western slope of the Colorado Rocky Mountains to return forests and rangelands to an ecologically sustainable condition and to reduce the potential for catastrophic wildfire and insect epidemics. Vegetative conditions at the Spring Valley Ranch property are significantly divergent from their historic norm. A comprehensive evaluation of wildfire hazard within Spring Valley Ranch was conducted in 2023; findings should be integrated into the overall restoration prescriptions being developed for the property. Project-wide vegetation restoration treatments include the maintenance of meadows, strategic fuel breaks to reduce vegetation density primarily through selective cutting to remove undesirable species and retention of mature healthy plants, and implementation of prescribed burning where feasible. Other recommended actions include the utilization of ignition resistant construction for all homes built in the development, including IR1 construction for selected properties. This is in combination with individual defensible space and other fuel reduction mitigation. Other infrastructure recommendations are proposed to meet adopted code compliance. The overall intent of this plan is to look, holistically, at the built and natural environments to create a sustainable development that is in concert with sound ecological principles while becoming fire resistant. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 5 48 Executive Summary INTRODUCTION Statement of Needs The Spring Valley Ranch Wildfire Mitigation Report was created to meet medium and long- range development planning goals, to mitigate the risk of wildfire, ensure that management activities are ecologically sustainable, and to integrate these directives with social and development preferences. This plan provides specific management direction to ensure the sustainability of the development and serves as a management guide for open space. Report Objectives The three main objectives of the Spring Valley Ranch Wildfire Mitigation Report are to: 1)Provide a Wildfire Mitigation Report for development review and approval. 2)Help ensure the effectiveness of the local, wildfire first responders and County Sheriff’s Office 3)Provide a tool for current and future residents of Spring Valley Ranch to understand the complexity of the Spring Valley Ranch wildfire issue so that they can more effectively manage their property in relation to this ecosystem. Location The proposed Spring Valley Ranch development is located approximately 20 miles southeast of Glenwood Springs, Colorado and covers 5,237 acres (Figure 1). Spring Valley Ranch is accessed by County Road 114 (Spring Valley Road). Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 6 48 Introduction Figure 1. Spring Valley Ranch near Glenwood Springs, Colorado Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 7 48 Wildfire Mitigation Objectives 1)Mitigate the risk of severe, uncontrollable wildfires by managing surface fuels and enhancing open meadow areas. 2)Promote responsible development through Fire Adapted Communities Concepts. a.www.fireadapted.org 3)Develop a holistic fire management package which includes: a.Fuels Reduction b.Construction Techniques c.Defensible Space d.Access / Egress 4)Minimize impacts to soils, riparian areas and the environment throughout the mitigation process. Current Risk Situation For the purposes of this report, the following definitions apply: Risk is considered to be the likelihood of an ignition occurrence. This is primarily determined by the fire history of the area. Hazard is the predicted fire behavior determined through the input variables of fuels, weather and topography run through the fire behavior software FlamMap and BehavePlus2 The majority of the study area is at high risk for wildland fires. This assessment is based on an analysis of the following factors: •The Spring Valley Ranch area is defined by mostly moderate and high wildfire risk by the Colorado State Forest Atlas: Wildfire Risk Assessment Public Viewer (coloradoforestatlas.org) •The Glenwood Springs area has a significant fire history. Major fires in the area since 1994 Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 8 48 Wildfire Mitigation include the South Canyon (Storm King Mountain), Coal Seam, Spring Creek, South Grizzly, Thompson Creek, Dotsero, Panorama, Coffee Pot, Black Mountain (West on I- 70),Center Mountain fires and more recently the Lake Christine (2018) and Grizzly Creek (2020) (see Figure 2). The South Canyon Fire (1994) resulted in the largest loss of life to wildland firefighters of any fire in the western United States to that date. The Grizzley Creek Fire burned approximately 32,000 acres as well as other incidents shown in Figure 2. While some of this data cannot be directly extrapolated to the Spring Valley Ranch development, enough of the same conditions exist to make a reasonable assumption of significant risk. Figure 2. Recent Large Fire Perimeters Map Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 9 48 Fire Behavior Modeling Fire behavior modeling provides a landscape level assessment of wildland fire hazards within the project area. Potential fire behavior was analyzed in order to determine which areas are most likely to burn and with what intensity. A BehavePlus2 simulation was run to compute potential fire behavior characteristics over the entire landscape for constant weather and moisture conditions. BehavePlus2 is a nationally recognized methodology for estimating a fire’s intensity and rate of spread given topography, fuels, and weather conditions. In order to model potential fire behavior across the project area, GIS data layers including elevation, slope, aspect, fuel models and canopy closure were utilized in FlamMap (see Figure 4). This modeling procedure yields three maps: 1) rate of spread, 2) flame length and 3) crown fire activity. These output maps illustrate the potential for fire behavior for the entire project area; they are used to prioritize treatment areas and guide fuel treatments, which in turn reduce fire intensity. Two fire scenarios were modeled for the property, one under moderate conditions and one under extreme conditions. Figure 4. Fire Behavior Modeling Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 10 48 Fire Behavior Inputs Fire behavior is dependent upon aspect, slope, elevation, canopy cover and fuel type. Figure 5. Percent Slope Slopes are shown here as percent (rise/run x100). Steeper slopes intensify fire behavior and thus will contribute to a high wildfire hazard rating. Spread rate of a fire for a slope of 30% are typically double those of flat terrain when all other influences are equal. For these and other fire behavior rationales, many of the fuels reduction projects targeted these steeper slopes. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 11 48 Figure 6. Aspect Aspects are shown as degrees from North ranging from 0 to 360 according to their orientation. Aspects are influential in the type and quantity of vegetative fuels. Fuels on south facing slopes tend to be drier and more lightly loaded than fuels on north facing slopes when all other influences are equal. Aspect also has an influence on species dominance. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 12 48 Figure 7. Elevation Elevations within the study area vary from approximately 6,900 feet to over 9,300 feet. As elevation increases, fuel loading and species change. Above tree line, fuels become sparse, and the natural burn interval is measured in centuries. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 13 48 Fuel Models and Fire Behavior Fuel models are a set of numbers that describe fuels in terms that a fire behavior model can use. There are seven characteristics that are used to categorize fuel models. •Fuel Loading •Size and Shape •Compactness •Horizontal Continuity •Vertical Arrangement •Moisture Content •Chemical Content The study area is represented primarily by 6 fuel models GR2 (grass) GS1,GS2, (Grass Shrub) SH7 (shrub) TU1 and TU5 (timber-understory). Each of the major fuel types present in the study area are described below in terms of the characteristics that coincide with that fuel model. Fuel model descriptions are taken from Scott and Burgan’s Standard Fire Behavior Fuel Models (FBFM40): A Comprehensive Set for Use with Rothermel’s Surface Fire Spread Model4, a national standard guide to fuel modeling. Scott, Joe H.; Burgan, Robert E. 2005. Standard fire behavior fuel models: a comprehensive set for use with Rothermel’s surface fire spread model. Gen. Tech. Rep. RMRS-GTR-153. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station Vegetation for the project area may or may not be specifically listed in the description. Plant species are only an aid to help visualize the characteristics of the model. The photos are taken from the project area and show where the local vegetation fits in. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 14 48 Figure 8. Spring Valley Ranch Fuel Models Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 15 48 FUEL MODEL GR2 Figure 9. Annual Grasses/Forbs Characteristics Grasslands and savanna are represented along with stubble, grass-tundra, and grass-shrub combinations. Common Types/Species Annual and perennial grasses are included in this fuel model. Fire Behavior Fire spread is governed by the fine, very porous, and continuous herbaceous fuels that have cured or are nearly cured. Fires in this fuel model are surface fires that move rapidly through the cured grass and associated material. Very little shrub or timber is present, generally less than one-third of the area. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 16 48 FUEL MODEL GS1 / GS2 Figure 10. Sage and Grass Mix Characteristics Open shrub lands and pine stands or scrub oak stands that cover one-third to two-thirds of the area may generally fit this model; such stands may include clumps of fuels that generate higher intensities and that may produce firebrands. Scattered sage within grasslands and some pinyon- juniper may be in this model. Common Types/Species Other tree and shrub species include common and Rocky Mountain juniper, buckbrush, sage, bitter brush, and mountain mahogany. Mountain grasses are included in this model. Fire Behavior Fire spread is primarily through the fine herbaceous fuels, either curing or dead. These are surface fires where the herbaceous material, in addition to litter and dead-down stem wood from the open shrub or timber overstory, contribute to the fire intensity. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 17 48 FUEL MODEL SH7 (Extreme Condition) Figure 11. Gamble Oak Over Six Feet Tall Characteristics This model consists of stands of small diameter trees or large shrubs with continuous closed crowns. There may be high amounts of small dead limbs retained on the lower portion of trees. There may also be high amounts of woody and needle litter associated with the stand. Common Types/Species Stands of mature shrubs, six or more feet tall, such as California mixed chaparral, and Scrub Oak stands. Fire Behavior High rates of spread can be experienced in this model. Fire is carried through the foliage as well as the fine live and dead woody material of tree crowns. Fire spread is also enhanced by the amount of dead woody material on the ground. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 18 48 FUEL – TU1 Figure 12. Aspen Characteristics Hardwoods that have leafed out support fire in the compact litter layer. This layer is mainly needles, leaves, and occasionally twigs because little undergrowth is present in the stand. Amounts of needle and woody litter are also low. Common Types/Species Plains Cottonwood and several species of willows along riparian areas are represented here. There are mostly streamside understory plants that do not contribute to the fire intensity. Fire Behavior Fires in this fuel model are slow burning, low intensity fires burning in surface fuels. Fuels are mainly needles and woody litter. Heavier fuel loadings from old dead and down trees or branches can cause flare-ups. Heavier fuel loads have the potential to develop crown fires in extreme burning conditions. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 19 48 FUEL MODEL TU 5 Figure 13. Mixed Conifer and Douglas-fir Stands Characteristics This model is represented by dense stands of over-mature Ponderosa pine, Lodgepole pine, mixed conifer, and continuous stands of Douglas-fir. In all stand types, heavy down material is present. There is also a large amount of dead, down woody fuels. Reproduction may be present, acting as ladder fuels. This model includes stands of budworm killed Douglas-fir, closed stands of Ponderosa pine with large amounts of ladder and surface fuels and stands of Lodgepole pine with heavy loadings of downed trees. This model can occur from the foothills through the sub- alpine zone. Common Types/Species All types of vegetation can occur in this model, but primary species are, Douglas-fir, Ponderosa pine, and Lodgepole pine. Fire Behavior Fire intensities can be moderate to extreme. Fire moves through dead, down woody material. Torching and spotting are more frequent. Crown fires are quite possible. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 20 48 The weather inputs for FlamMap were created by using weather data collected at Rifle Remote Automated Weather Station (RAWS). It was determined that this RAWS site provided the best option for weather data for the project area. Table 3. Reference Weather Used in the Fire Behavior Potential Evaluation Rifle Information Weather observations from the Rifle (RAWS) were sorted by spread component for a ten-year period (May to October 2000-2021) to calculate these conditions. The moderate conditions class (16th to 89th percentile) was calculated for each variable (1 hour, 10 hour, and 100 hour fuel moisture, woody fuel moisture, herbaceous fuel moisture, and wind speed) using Fire Family Plus. This weather condition class most closely represents an average fire season day. The extreme conditions class was calculated in Fire Family Plus using 97th percentile weather data. That is to say, the weather conditions existing on the two to three most severe fire weather days were sorted by spread component for each season for the ten-year period. It is reasonable to assume that similar conditions may exist for at least three days of the fire season during an average year. In fact, during extreme years, such conditions may exist for significantly longer periods. Even these calculations may be conservative compared to observed fire behavior. The following values were used in FlamMap: Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 21 48 Latitude (dd mm ss)39 ° 30' 51 " N Longitude (dd mm ss)107 °45 ' 26 " W Elevation (ft.)6,120 Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 22 48 Average Weather Conditions Variable Value 20ft wind speed (upslope) 17 Herbaceous fuel moisture (%) 4 (30) Woody fuel moisture (%) 70 1hr Fuel moisture 3 10hr Fuel moisture 4 100hr Fuel moisture 7 Fire Behavior Outputs From the fire behavior analysis predictions of rate of spread and flame length are derived. The maps graphically display the outputs of FlamMap for both moderate and extreme weather conditions. Figure 14. Rate of Spread Predictions (Moderate Weather Conditions) Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 23 48 Figure 15. Rate of Spread Predictions (Extreme Weather Conditions) Spread rate values are generated by the FlamMap model and classified into four categories based on standard ranges: 0-20 CPH (chains/hour), 20.1-40 CPH, 40.1-60 CPH, and greater than 60 CPH. A chain is a logging measurement that is equal to 66 feet. One mile equals 80 chains. 1 CPH equals approximately 1 foot/minute. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 24 48 Figure 16. Flame Length Predictions (Moderate Weather Conditions) Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 25 48 Figure 17. Flame Length Predictions (Extreme Weather Conditions) Flame length values are generated by the FlamMap model and classified in the four categories based on standard ranges: 0-4 feet, 4.1-8 feet, 8.1-12 feet and 12.1-60 feet. Flame lengths of 4 feet and less are acceptable for direct attack by hand crews. Flame lengths of 8 feet and less are suitable for direct attack by machinery. With flame lengths of greater than 8 feet, indirect and aerial attacks are the preferred methods. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 26 48 Figure 18. Crown Fire (Moderate Weather Conditions) Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 27 48 Figure 19. Crown Fire (Extreme Weather Conditions) Crown fire activity values are generated by the FlamMap model and classified into four categories based on standard ranges: active, passive, surface and not applicable. In the surface fire category, little or no tree torching will be expected. During passive crown fire activity, isolated torching of trees or groups of trees will be observed, and canopy runs will be limited to short distances. During active crown fire activity, sustained runs through the canopy will be observed that may be independent of surface fire activity. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 28 48 Fire Behavior Interpretation and Limitations The lower elevations of the study area are dominated by shrubs and grass. The most significant factor in fire behavior for this type of fuel is wind. Under extreme conditions, all the fuel models burn with high intensity and great speed. In order for fire to move through the area, it needs continuous fuels. In years with good moisture a higher fuel load of grass can be expected and as grasses cure, they can become a problem later in the season. In dry years, or during drought conditions, the grass will be very sparse and there will be mostly bare ground between the shrubs. Shrubs can appear green and still burn well due to volatile oils in the leaves and bark. Shrubs will also have dead wood that may not be seen due to the leaf canopy. Because most of the shrubs lose their leaves in the fall, the threat for late fall and winter fires is lower. If there is good moisture in the spring, the shrubs will not burn until much later in the summer. Gamble oak is especially dangerous as it has a waxy coating on the leaves that promotes intense burning under the proper conditions. Dense stands scattered throughout the central and southern portions of the development pose the greatest threat from wildfire. Many of these stands are located below planned home sites, making proper defensible space and ignition resistant home construction of critical importance. The rate of spread under moderate conditions is quite fast, reaching two MPH in some areas. Under extreme conditions speeds of one MPH or greater would be common with speeds of up to 10 MPH possible without taking into account fire spread due to spotting. Flame lengths in the oak will generally be too intense for direct attack by hand crews. Steep slopes will also contribute to intensity. Sage varies in its burning intensity by the age and structure of the plants. Areas that are actively browsed will typically be very low growing, have new growth and burn less intensely. As the plant gets older and/ or not browsed, it will become decadent with much of the plant dying off and contributing to more intense burning. Under moderate conditions, the fire could be fought by direct attack methods safely. Under extreme conditions, fire will move rapidly through the crowns of the plants, creating spotting problems. Stands of mixed conifers occur in stringers and patches primarily on southwest facing slopes in the eastern portion of the study area. Under extreme conditions this fuel model is capable of producing large flame lengths and dangerously rapid fire spread through spotting. Torching and crown fire runs are possible. Direct attack in this fuel model may not be possible even in moderate burning conditions and will certainly not be possible in extreme conditions. Although this fuel model does not exist as a continuous fuel bed in the study area, conforming defensible space and ignition resistant construction is prescribed for all homes located in or near these fuels. Aspen stands do not pose much threat from wildfire. They would most likely be a barrier to fire due to the typically wet conditions existing where dominant and the generally high live fuel moistures in the plants. Even in dry years, aspen will probably not contain enough fuel to carry the fire. Aspen also tends to occur at the higher elevations of the study area where cooler conditions exist. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 29 48 It is recommended to clean up diseased and fallen trees in the aspen stands which if left undisturbed could create heavy fuel loads of dead and down material. This evaluation is a prediction of likely fire behavior given a standardized set of conditions and a single point source ignition at every point. It does not consider cumulative impacts of increased fire intensity over time and space. The model does not calculate the probability that a wildfire will occur. It assumes an ignition occurrence for every cell (each 30 x 30 meter area). Weather conditions are extremely variable and not all combinations are accounted for. These outputs are best used for pre-planning and not as a stand-alone product for tactical planning. It is recommended that whenever possible, fire behavior calculations be done with actual weather observations during the fire. It is also recommended that the most current ERC values be calculated and distributed during the fire season to be used as a guideline for fire behavior potential. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 30 48 WILDFIRE MITIGATION RECOMMENDATIONS In response to the comprehensive analysis described above, the following elements for creating a Fire Adapted Community are suggested. Defensible Space •All homes and common buildings will be required to develop and maintain defensible space. Defensible space includes the use of vegetative management that removes flammable fuels from around a structure to reduce exposure to radiant heat. The flammable fuels may be replaced with green lawn, gardens, certain individually spaced green, ornamental shrubs, individually spaced and pruned trees, decorative stone or other non- flammable or flame-resistant materials. Although this diagram depicts defensible space in relation to trees, the same zonal approach and general thinning standards still apply in other vegetative types. Defensible space should be created in concert with the homeowner and builder’s design aesthetic to create both a pleasing look and fire resistant landscape. An aggressive program of evaluating and implementing defensible space for homes in the highest hazard neighborhoods will do more to limit fire related property damage than any other single recommendation in this report. For this reason, the creation and maintenance of defensible space should be covenant controlled. Defensible Space Easements •All lots with a downhill exposure, significant fire hazard and adjacent to common open space will have a Defensible Space Easements (Figure 21 yellow lines), platted, and accepted in covenants. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 31 48 Wildfire Mitigation Recommendations Figure 20. Defensible Space Conceptual design This area will allow homeowners to extend and maintain their defensible space beyond their property line if an extended distance is required. This area will be covenant restricted to any dumping or disposal of combustible materials or yard waste. Figure 21. Defensible Space and Defensible Space Easements Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 32 48 Fuel Treatments •Fuel Breaks Two types of fuels reduction treatments, other than defensible space will be implemented: Annual Mowing and Roadside Thinning. Evacuation Route Enhancements will likely include fuel reduction as well (see Figure 21, brown and orange). The intent is to reduce the intensity and rate-of-spread of the fire. The Annual Mowing along community trails fuel breaks are located in areas where the fire behavior is most affected by topography, prevailing winds and or continuous fuels. These areas should be delineated as Fuels Reduction Easements on the final plat map and in the development’s covenants. On- site evaluation will determine what form of treatment is most appropriate. These fuel reduction areas would be maintained in addition to each individual defensible space around homes. The fuel treatments leverage off the golf course, roads, community trails and or riparian enhancement areas to create a landscape mosaic. Two other forms of fuels breaks will be implemented on the property. These are in the form of Golf Courses and Ski Runs. Both create exceptional fuel breaks and have been considered within the overall strategic layout of the fuels reduction plan. In addition to the physical fuel reduction associated with Golf Courses and Ski Runs, both will have irrigation/snow making capabilities. Sprinklers can be activated during a fire and snow making equipment can also be utilized to enhance the effectiveness of the fuel break. These elements will be preplanned in the final wildfire documentation. • Roadside Thinning (orange in figure 21) is an essential fuels reduction component for the egress of persons on the property during a fire as well as access for first responders. While defensible space implementation treats hazardous fuels close to individual structures, broader landscape level fuel modification practices known as fuel breaks or shaded fuel breaks are implemented on a neighborhood or community scale. Roadside thinning will be constructed along the roads shown in Figure 21. Once implemented, the public and responding emergency resources will have safer, ingress and egress. The fuel break recommendations in this report emphasize utilizing existing and or planned roadways as an anchor for fuel modification for several reasons. Roadside thinning is designed to interrupt the continuity of the vegetation, creating sufficient vertical and horizontal gaps in the fuel load to reduce fire behavior. Cross-section of a typical fuel break built in conjunction with a road can be seen in Figure 22. The plan view (a) of the fuel break shows an example of this Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 33 48 Figure 22. Roadside Thinning Fuelbreak thinning. The distance of the fuel break as well as distance between plants is adjusted for the height and type of vegetation being thinned as well as slope. Roadside thinning strategies offer greater cost efficiencies than landscape treatments with harder access. The road reduces wood and biomass removal and therefore much less cutting per acre treated is required to achieve fuel break guidelines. It is essential the roadside thinning be done in an aesthetically pleasing manner to ensure that the value of the community is maintained. Final prescriptions for canopy spacing, understory modification and overall thinning distances will be generated prior to implementation. Although roadside thinning or roadside fuelbreaks greatly enhance the safety of both egress and access, it is often desirable to identify “collection” point within a development. Collection point areas are predesignated to facilitate evacuating citizens a place to collect or gather for further information on the evacuation process. The golf course clubhouse is being considered for such an area. If a fire were to start in the southern portion of the property, it might be desirable to evacuate the entire community. Staging citizens at the clubhouse allows authorities to direct traffic away from approaching flames and incoming resources. This location and its possible identification as a community collection point will continue to be evaluated. A number of deaths have been documented as occurring during evacuations fro WUI fires. The factors associated with these deaths, including delayed dissemination of warnings or delays in implementation of evacuation advice, can result in evacuees leaving areas at risk with only minutes to spare and in turn encountering dangerous conditions in the process. New communities have the advantage of planning for wildfire evacuation. Spring Valley Ranch should be planned with adequate route capacity, limited density of housing in any single area and a system for accurate information delivery to residents and visitors during an emergency. The International Association of Fire Chiefs, Ready, Set, Go! program supports developing and improving dialogue between the fire service and the residents they serve. The program helps departments teach individuals who live in high-risk wildland fire areas and the WUI how to best prepare themselves, their families and their properties against outdoor fire threats. Customizable resources allow members to incorporate some familiarity within the program, creating increased buy-in from their local audiences. Through the trusted voice of the fire service, the program and associated resources encourage residents/ property owners to be Ready by taking personal responsibility and action—preparing long before the threat of a wildland fire. RSG provides tips on creating defensible space, assembling emergency supplies, planning escape routes and identifying safety zones. The program also encourages those in threatened areas to Go and Act early following their Personal Wildland Fire Action Plan. Promoting cooperation and early action not only supports the safety of community members but allows fire and emergency response agencies to utilize their resources where they are most needed. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 34 48 These tools can be found at: https://www.iafc.org/topics-and-tools/resources/resource/ready-set-go-program To support community evacuation, a formal, scientific Community Wildfire Mitigation Plan (CWPP) should be developed with an evacuation component that is in concert with the IAFC’s Ready-Set-Go program. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 35 48 Annual Mowing - Mitigation in fuel model GS1 (Figure 23), mixed sage and grass, can often be accomplished by a Hydro-Axe or industrial mower. Annual maintenance of the Sage may only be needed for the first few years. After the Sage has been successfully retarded, the grass can be mowed by more conventional means. This fuels reduction project (Figure 23) creates a “line of defense” to help prevent a grass fire from moving into a more hazardous fuel profile, north of the fuel break line. The project shown in Figure 23 utilizes the community trail systems as the “centerline” fuel break. The overall intent of this area is to maintain the grasses to a height of <3” or maintain greenness. Figure 23. Annual Mowing Fuels Reduction Areas Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 36 48 Extended Defensible Space Easements Conforming defensible space shall be installed around all homes and common buildings in the development. Defensible space easements are in anticipation that the prescribed defensible space may extended beyond the lot line due to slope and vegetative type predominant on the lot. This fuel reduction can be done post construction, however over-lot thinning beyond the building envelope can be done during the vegetation removal for the building envelope. This “first pass” of fuels reduction is much easier before construction. Flammable vegetation and materials located wholly or partially within the treatment areas shall be treated as follows: •At ground level- remove flammable materials, including but not limited to, ground litter, duff and dead or desiccated vegetation that will propagate fire. •Thin trees and large shrubs so there are at least 10 feet between crowns. Crown separation is to be measured from the furthest branch of one tree to the nearest branch on the next tree. •All limbs and foliage of living trees shall be removed up to a height of 10 feet or 1/3 the height of the tree or shrub whichever is less. Remove all ladder fuels from under the remaining trees. Figure 24. Extended Defensible Space Easements Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 37 48 Ignition Resistant Building Requirements Universal Construction Standards All construction within the development will be required to utilize Class 2 Ignition Resistant Construction as per Section 505 of the 2021 International Wildland -Urban Interface Code (IWUIC 2021). The exception is that a Class “A” roof covering will be required on all structures which is more restrictive than the Class B requirement. Class “A” roof assemblies will not be permitted. Cedar siding and other use for cedar materials on the exterior of the structure will not be permitted. Special Building Construction Properties Lots identified in figure 25 represent those lots which due to their increased fire hazard require additional wildfire mitigation in the form of ignition resistant building construction Class 1 as per section 503 of the IWUIC 2021. Lots were assigned to the Special Building Construction Properties category based on the significant presence of hazardous fuel. This fuel model was determined to be the common denominator in the more hazardous fire behavior outputs of flame length, rate of spread and crown fire potential. Over-lot thinning on these lots to convert the fuel model from one with significant woody components to a grass/shrub fuel would reduce the overall hazard of the property and require the construction to adhere only to the universal construction standards. Figure 25. Special Building Construction Properties Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 38 48 Section 504 Class 1 Ignition Resistant Construction as described in the 2021 International Wildland Urban Interface Code. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 39 48 504. 1 General. Class 1 ignition-resistant construction shall be in accordance with Sections 504.2 through 504.11 504. 2 Roof covering. Roofs shall have a roof assembly that complies with a Class A rating when tested in accordance with ASTM E108 or UL 790. For roof coverings were the profile allows a space between the roof covering and foot decking, the space at the eave ends shall be firestopped to preclude entry of flames or embers, or have one layer of 72- pound (32.4 kg) mineral-surfaced, non perforated cap sheet complying with ASTM D3909 installed over the combustible decking. 2. Approved noncombustible materials. 3. Heavy timber or log wall construction. 4. Fire-retardant-treated wood on the exterior side. The fire-retardant-treated wood shall be labeled for exterior use and meet the requirements of Section 2303.2 of the International Building Code. 5. Ignition-resistant materials complying with Section 503.2 on the exterior side. Such material shall extend from the top of the foundation to the underside of the roof sheathing. 504.5 Exterior walls. Exterior walls of buildings of structures shall be constructed with one of the following methods: 1. Materials approved for not less than 1-hour fire- resistance-rated construction on the exterior side. 504.6 Underfloor enclosure. Buildings of structures shall have underfloor areas enclosed to the ground with exterior walls in accordance with Section 504.5. Exception: Complete enclosure shall not be required where the underside of exposed floors and exposed structural columns, beams and supporting walls are protected as required for exterior 1-hour fire-resistance- rated construction or heavy timber construction or fire- Retardant-treated wood. The fire-retardant-treated wood Shall be labeled for exterior use and meet the requirements of Section 2303.2 of the International Building Code. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 40 48 Section 505 Class 2 Ignition-Resistant Construction Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 41 48 Water Supply As seen in the map below, created by Roaring Fork Engineering, there is an extensive fire hydrant system proposed. Although this system is designed for structure fire suppression, hydrants can be utilized during wildfires to refill engines and to fill large bladders know as dip tanks for helicopter buckets to dip into and fill up. In addition to hydrants, reservoirs and ponds can provide important water sources. A significant pond will be developed in the golf course area. The absence of overhead obstruction, associated with this golf courses, provides and ideal environment for helicopter operations. Hopkins Reservoir is another substantial water source available for helicopter dipping operations. In addition to this, a dry hydrant will be installed in the reservoir to provide a remote fill site for engines and or dip tanks. The presence of an extensive hydrant system in combination with two surface water sources provides an excellent source of water for fire suppression. Figure. 26. Spring Valley Ranch Hydrant Map Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 42 48 Justification It is the recommendation of this report that the Wildfire Mitigation Recommendation elements described above be selected by the authority having jurisdiction as the best approach for new development in this area. These recommendations provide the best balance between the critical elements of water, access, fuels reduction and ignition resistant construction. To mitigate the potential for a structure fire extending beyond the building into the wildland and creating a significant event, residential 13D sprinkler systems with the appropriate volume and fire flow for each specific structure are required. If a 13-D system should be disabled or fail and a breach of the structure should occur, defensible space as a fuels reduction technique, to limit fire spread from the structure to the surrounding vegetation, will be installed. A Defensible Space Easement will be established to ensure that the proper defensible space distances are met even beyond individual properly lines on the most critical lots. Class “A” roof coverings will be required. This provides protection, for the most critical area of the house, from ember generation in the event of a wildland fire. The restrictions on the use of Cedar siding and other exterior Cedar projects will help protect all structures from surface fire ignition. From a wildfire perspective, spectrums of solutions for the development are offered. Including geographic fuel breaks adjacent to neighborhoods and structures to reduce the rate of spread and intensity of an encroaching wildfire. Fuel breaks in combination with defensible space are the best solution to keep direct radiant heat and flame contact from igniting structures. The water supply configuration is sufficient for structure protection and wildfire suppression. In most jurisdictions throughout the United States, it is taught and recommended that engines do not hook up to water sources other than to fill their tanks. Mobility is the key to fire suppression in the wildland urban interface. Ample fill sites (pressurized hydrants) will be available. Access standards will adhere to the 2020 UWIC. This code specifies reasonable and practical access standards for the UWI, not the overly restrictive requirements of the Uniform Fire Code (UFC) which were developed for an urban application. Often meeting UFC standards for access in rural areas creates unnecessary and undesirable resource damage. The UWIC access standards are sufficient for fire department access and egress while balancing the need for responsible land development. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 43 48 For these reasons, this report recommends the above stated elements be utilized to provide the most efficient and effective approach for responsible development for the Spring Valley Ranch Project. Post Treatment Hazard Conditions The current wildfire hazard on the property is very diverse and ranges from areas of low hazard (low elevation grasslands) to very high hazard in the steep mixed conifer stands. The proposed mitigation plan is a three pronged approach to reducing the impacts of wildfire. The approach includes landscape scale fuels reduction, home hardening along with defensible space and planned infrastructure including access, egress, water supply and evacuation. The goal is to create a fire-adapted community that can reduce the overall impacts to the local ecologically, the built environment and human life. One of the goals of landscape fuels reduction is to convert the existing fuel model (vegetation type or classification) to a less hazardous fuel model. Pre and post fuel models can be run through fire behavior analysis to provide a description of the changes that occur in rate of spread, flame length, intensity and other modeled characteristics, post treatment. Existing fire behavior outputs can be seen starting on page 23 of this report. Runing a hypothetical, post treatment fire behavior map would only show the specific treatment area reduction in fire behavior, which can be thought of as a reduction in severity or hazard. If the plan was to treat every acre of high hazard landscape, then the modeling would be informative. The plan, however, is to treat very specific, very strategic areas that have the highest impact on life safety and property conservation. This is done to help maintain the ecological integrity of the landscape and not conduct a wholesale vegetative conversion across the entire property. There are sound ecological, social and financial reasons for not taking that approach. Achieving a Fire Adapted Community is possible while maintaining the ecological, social and monetary goals of the development. The proposed mitigation in this plan was designed with a wholistic approach with life safety being the first consideration, property conservation second and incident stabilization the third goal. It would not be appropriate to state a quantifiable reduction in hazard, post plan implementation, as many elements of the plan do not have, as of yet, a scientifically supported and quantifiable definition of the mitigating effects post treatment. For instance, there are no accepted and clear definitions of the reduction in hazard (low, moderate, high, very high) if a home has conducted home hardening techniques and defensible space. Unfortunately, even a purpose built home, designed to resist wildfire, can easily burn if the owner leaves a window or garage door open, completely negating the fire mitigation efforts. Each mitigation technique proposed in this plan are known and accepted techniques for reducing structure loss and enhancing life safety, they are complementary to each other, having a synergistic effect. However it is not possible to quantify an objective reduction in overall hazard and risk. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 44 48 Purpose The purpose of this appendix is to describe the methodology used to evaluate the threat represented by physical hazards, such as fuels, weather, and topography, to values-at-risk in the study area by modeling their effects on fire behavior potential. Model Description Figure 27. Fire Behavior Flow Chart The fire behavior potential analysis represents a relative ranking of locations based upon fire behavior predicted by the model. The model inputs include aspect, slope, elevation, canopy cover, fuel type, canopy bulk density, canopy base height and stand height. The model outputs are determined using FlamMap5 which combines surface fire predictions with the potential for crown fire development. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 45 48 Appendix A Fire Behavior Potential Analysis Calculations for surface fire predictions (rate of spread and flame length) are based on the USDA Forest Service's BEHAVE6 model. 5 Mark Finney, Stuart Brittain and Rob Seli., The Joint Fire Sciences Program of the Rocky Mountain Research Station (USDA Forest Service, Missoula, Montana), the Bureau of Land Management and Systems for BEHAVE The BEHAVE fire behavior prediction and fuel modeling system was utilized to determine surface fire behavior estimates for this study. BEHAVE is a nationally recognized set of calculations used to estimate a surface fire’s intensity and rate of spread given certain conditions of topography, fuels and weather. The BEHAVE modeling system has been used for a variety of applications including prediction of an ongoing fire, prescribed fire planning, fuel hazard assessment, initial attack dispatch and fire prevention planning and training. Predictions of wildland fire behavior are made for a single point in time and space given simple user-defined fuels, weather and topography. Requested values depend on the modeling choices made by the user. Assumptions of BEHAVE: •Fire is predicted at the flaming front •Fire is free burning •Behavior is heavily weighted towards the fine fuels •Continuous and uniform fuels •Surface fires FlamMap Anchor Point uses FlamMap to evaluate the potential fire conditions in the study area. The Spring Valley Ranch development encompasses approximately 5,237 acres (8.2 square miles). The study area for the fire behavior analysis includes the development and a buffer of approximately 804.6 meters (1/2 mile) in all directions broken down into 30-meter (M) grids. Using existing vector and raster spatial data and field data, ArcGIS spatial analysis capabilities are utilized to calculate model inputs for each 30- meter square (MSq) grid. These values are input into FlamMap, along with reference weather and fuel moisture (long-term weather observations statistically calculated from the Rifle Remote Automated Weather Station information). The outputs of FlamMap include the estimated Rate of Spread (ROS) (from BEHAVE), Flame Length (FL) (from BEHAVE) and Crown Fire Activity. The model computes Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 46 48 these values for each grid cell in the study area. This evaluation is a prediction of likely fire behavior given a standardized set of conditions and a single point source ignition at every point. It does not consider cumulative impacts of increased fire intensity over time and space. The model does not calculate the probability that a wildfire will occur. It assumes an ignition occurrence for every cell (a 30 x 30-meter area). Weather conditions are extremely variable and not all combinations are accounted for. These outputs are best used for pre-planning and not as a stand-alone product for tactical planning. It is recommended that whenever possible, fire behavior calculations be done with actual weather observations during the fire. It is also recommended that the most current ERC values be calculated and distributed during the fire season to be used as a guideline for fire behavior potential. Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 47 48 Construction in Spring Valley Ranch should be required to follow Ignition Resistant Constructing Class I standards as defined in the 2020 ICC Wildland Urban Interface Code. These construction techniques, in combination with fuels reduction on both the landscape and home- site level, should create a condition where developed property would have a low-to-moderate impact from a moderate intensity wildfire. Additionally, other improvements could be made to further ensure protection from fire. Some of these elements are detailed in these publications from the Colorado State Forest Service: •Home Ignition Zone Guide - 2021_CSFS_HIZGuide_Web.pdf (colostate.edu) •6.303, Fire-Resistant Landscaping - 06303.pdf (colostate.edu) •6.305, FireWise Plant Materials - 06305.pdf (colostate.edu) •6.306, Grass Seed Mixes to Reduce Wildfire Hazard - 06306.pdf (colostate.edu) •Wildfire and Insurance -2021-Wildfire-and-Insurance-Brochure-1.pdf (colostate.edu) •Protecting Your Home from Wildfire: Creating-Wildfire-Defensible-Zones.pdf (landcan.org) Wildfire Mitigation Report | Spring Valley Ranch - 2023 of 48 48 Appendix B Reference Guide